14
Guili Guili
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Austria - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-14 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-26 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 7-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2024 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 05/10/2024 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 27/12/2024 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 13/02/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 26/02/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 27/03/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 14/05/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |