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4

Helali De Montceau

9yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Austria - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#17

Rank

Odds

45/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Vincennes 31/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 031/015C0 @ Vincennes 10/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06 @ Nancy 28/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 028/036C0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 013/05C?4 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05 @ Amiens 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 011/0655 @ Enghien 04/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04 @ Strasbourg 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 027/084projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Reims?0
2026-08-27Strasbourg45th5th0
2026-07-04Enghien512th13th−1
2026-06-11Amiens54th5th−1
2026-06-05Vincennes46th6th0
2026-05-13Vincennes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0115/0411/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength39%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20267th25/10%50%+0.50
10/02/20267th25/10%45%+0.45
28/03/20269th10/147%38%-0.09
15/04/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64
13/05/20264th25/10%80%+0.80
05/06/20266th20/10%67%+0.67
11/06/20264th11/142%73%+0.31
04/07/202612th16/116%21%+0.06
27/08/20265th28/10%50%+0.50