2
Hercule De Bea
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Austria - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-27 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2024 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 06/01/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/04/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |