10
Herduno
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Austria - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#18
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Graignes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Graignes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Vincennes | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-03-12 | Laval | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-11-13 | Mauquenchy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2023 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/12/2023 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/03/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/11/2024 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 12/03/2025 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/11/2025 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 02/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |