15
Hirius De Guez
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Austria - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 20/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 15/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 80/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |