11
Horace D'arthenay
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Austria - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 5 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 3-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 24/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 24/07/2026 | 15th | 80/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |