4
Macumba Du Vivier
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 13/08/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 93% | -0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |