5
Maerline D'avel
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 01/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.31 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |