2
Marianna
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-26 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 02/07/2025 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 23/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/09/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |