9
Miss Belgrave
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Feurs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-01-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-13 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 03/12/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |