13
Miss De La Ferme
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 17/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 19/08/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |