8
Moana Mesloise
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-22 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 22/02/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 23% | -0.32 |
| 04/09/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |