10
Moon Des Arris
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chartres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |