12
Moon Normandy
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Alexandra - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 73% | -0.21 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 82% | -0.14 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 92% | -0.05 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 85% | -0.06 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |