4

Magic Night

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Grand Prix De L'u.e.t. (gr A) - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 024/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 16/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 24/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/0111 @ Vincennes 07/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 01 @ Enghien 14/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 014/0811 @ Vincennes 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/091projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vincennes13rd3rd0
2026-08-29Vincennes13rd3rd0
2026-08-14Enghien18th8th0
2026-06-06Vincennes10
2026-05-09Caen10
2026-04-18Enghien10

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0816/1114/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
13/09/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
24/10/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
16/11/20251st1/297%100%+0.03
24/01/20263rd13/266%80%+0.14
07/02/20264th7/491%73%-0.18
14/08/20268th11/486%46%-0.39
29/08/20263rd9/276%83%+0.07
12/09/20263rd25/10%87%+0.87