1
Montequillo
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Grand Prix De L'u.e.t. (gr A) - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 29/05/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |