7

Mostra De Banville

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Grand Prix De L'u.e.t. (gr A) - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 16/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 016/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 16/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 15/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/0211 @ Vincennes 28/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 04/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/0411 @ Enghien 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 01 @ Vincennes 12/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/091projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vincennes19th9th0
2026-08-29Vincennes10
2026-08-14Enghien10
2026-07-18Enghien14th4th0
2026-04-04Vincennes16th6th0
2026-02-28Vincennes16th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1011/014/0412/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
06/11/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
16/11/20258th12/137%13%-0.24
11/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
15/02/20264th12/137%75%+0.38
28/02/20266th20/10%64%+0.64
04/04/20266th17/255%38%-0.18
18/07/20264th100/10%73%+0.73
12/09/20269th150/10%47%+0.47