7
Native De Play
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Magdalena - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 11/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |