9
Noblesse Jisce
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Magdalena - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |