4
Noblesse Mika
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Magdalena - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Reims | 6 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 13/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |