6
Nostra Cosa
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Magdalena - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-21 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |