1
Nusch Nova
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Magdalena - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |