3
Nyaka
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Magdalena - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 5 | −3 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 6 | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -28.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |