15
Narcotic Thrust
3yo Colt · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Byblis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -48.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |