9

Nardech De Houelle
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Byblis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#2
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -17.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |