14
Nautilus Du Seux
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Vincennes · Prix Byblis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -15.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |