3
New Look Berry
3yo Colt · 9-4
Vincennes · Prix Byblis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#4
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-22 | Vincennes | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |