6
Nice Dream Meslois
3yo Gelding · 8-11
Vincennes · Prix Byblis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#14
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-30 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-27 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-25 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +80.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |