4
Ballet Beauty
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +39.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |