3
Bertha
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 67
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 21/06/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 31/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |