Kiss Me Baby

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59

Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.1

Today:

Class gap: +0.4

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-14	Woodbine	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-05-23	Woodbine	?	10th	9th	+1	1.0
2025-09-27	Woodbine	?	8th	7th	+1	2.6
2025-08-31	Woodbine	?	4th	3rd	+1	6.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▼

Strength50%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
31/08/2025	4th	14/1	26%	25%	-0.01
27/09/2025	8th	40/1	0%	13%	+0.13
23/05/2026	10th	50/1	0%	0%	0.00
14/08/2026	6th	10/1	47%	29%	-0.19