5
Suvari
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |