5
High Beam
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 61
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +23.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |