Mann Court

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 64

Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.2

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Woodbine	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-08-16	Woodbine	?	7th	5th	+2	5.4
2026-07-19	Woodbine	?	6th	4th	+2	6.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -33.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
19/07/2026	6th	16/1	16%	29%	+0.13
16/08/2026	7th	50/1	0%	40%	+0.40
11/09/2026	5th	5/1	74%	20%	-0.54