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8

Silent Knight

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 55

Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 15/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS15/06C7C7 @ Woodbine 27/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/07/2025 · OR 70 par27/07C7OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 24/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 70 par24/08C7OR 70C9 @ Woodbine 31/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 59 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 59 par31/10C9OR 59C9 @ Woodbine 15/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 65 par15/11C9OR 65C9 @ Woodbine 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 53 · 6f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 53 par12/06C9OR 53C9 @ Woodbine 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 54 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 54 par6/07C9OR 54projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-06-12Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2025-11-15Woodbine?7th7th0
2025-10-31Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-08-24Woodbine?9th7th+2
2025-07-27Woodbine?9th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0631/106/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20255th15/261%20%-0.41
27/07/20259th25/10%27%+0.27
24/08/20259th40/10%0%0.00
31/10/20254th10/147%40%-0.07
15/11/20257th9/153%14%-0.38
12/06/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
06/07/20266th13/266%29%-0.37