4

Wonderful Quality

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 61

Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 28/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS28/09C6C6 @ Woodbine 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 34 · 1m110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 34 par24/05C6OR 34C6 @ Woodbine 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 46 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 46 par14/06C6OR 46C6 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 59 · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 59 par5/07C6OR 59C6 @ Woodbine 26/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 72 par26/07C6OR 72C6 @ Fort Erie 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 70 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 70 par11/08C6OR 70C9 @ Woodbine 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 67 par11/09C9OR 67projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-08-11Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2026-07-26Woodbine?9th6th+3
2026-07-05Woodbine?8th5th+3
2026-06-14Woodbine?6th3rd+3
2026-05-24Woodbine?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/095/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%

Delivery trend -8.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20258th33/10%0%0.00
24/05/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
14/06/20266th20/10%0%0.00
05/07/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
26/07/20269th50/10%11%+0.11
11/08/20265th15/890%43%-0.47
11/09/20264th4/179%40%-0.39