Fun Fella
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 03/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 29/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 21/08/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |