3

Lawyer Mason

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 85

Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Kentucky Downs 31/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 80 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 80 par31/08C5OR 80C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 6f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Aqueduct 14/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 87 par14/11C5OR 87C5 @ Aqueduct 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Aqueduct 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 81 par23/04C5OR 81C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 82 · 6f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Saratoga 04/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 80 par4/07C5OR 80C8 @ Saratoga 09/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 83 parC6 @ Woodbine 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 7f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 86 par30/08C6OR 86projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Woodbine?4th2nd+2
2026-08-09Saratoga?11th11th0
2026-07-04Saratoga?9th6th+3
2026-05-16Belmont At The Big A?8th5th+3
2026-04-23Aqueduct?4th1st+3
2025-12-11Aqueduct?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0811/124/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength92%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20258th14/126%22%-0.04
20/09/20253rd9/153%60%+0.07
14/11/202510th10/147%0%-0.47
11/12/20255th14/126%20%-0.06
23/04/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
16/05/20268th10/147%13%-0.35
04/07/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
09/08/202611th25/10%0%0.00
30/08/20264th7/163%50%-0.13