Paradise Perfect
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |