7
Coherence
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 09/08/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |