4
Jmr Speedy Escape
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |