5
Lieutenant Stan
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 57% | -0.35 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 09/08/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |