Master Spy
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 65
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 55% | -0.36 |
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/11/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |