IvyArcIvyArc
8

Silent Fortune

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 59

Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 28/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark28/11/2024 · OR 82 par28/11C8OR 82C7 @ Woodbine 08/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 79 · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Woodbine 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f110y 122 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 71 par23/08C8OR 71C8 @ Woodbine 12/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 72 · 7f Fas 122 · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 72 parC7 @ Woodbine 05/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f110y Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 76 par5/10C7OR 76C8 @ Woodbine 24/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 81 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 78 par21/11C8OR 78C8 @ Woodbine 28/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 76 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 76 parC8 @ Woodbine 06/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 61 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 61 par6/09C8OR 61projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Woodbine?9th9th0
2026-06-28Woodbine?0
2025-11-28Woodbine?7th7th0
2025-11-21Woodbine?8th8th0
2025-10-24Woodbine?8th8th0
2025-10-05Woodbine?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1112/0921/116/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20248th25/10%0%0.00
08/08/20257th33/10%0%0.00
23/08/20255th66/10%43%+0.43
12/09/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
05/10/20258th33/10%0%0.00
24/10/20258th25/10%22%+0.22
21/11/20258th14/126%22%-0.04
28/11/20257th33/10%40%+0.40
06/09/20269th33/10%11%+0.11