Aussie Hyper
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |