Go Giffen
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/11/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 05/07/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |