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I'm Tenacious

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 79

Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 31/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 79 par31/07C8OR 79C8 @ Woodbine 04/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 7f110y 121 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f 123 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 83 par25/09C8OR 83C8 @ Woodbine 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 86 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 86 par25/10C8OR 86C8 @ Woodbine 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f 123 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Woodbine 09/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 5f Fm 121 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 72 par9/07C8OR 72C8 @ Woodbine 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 75 · 7f110y Fm 121 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Woodbine 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 7f Fas 121 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 78 par10/09C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-08-06Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-09Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-05-16Woodbine?7th7th0
2025-10-25Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2025-10-16Woodbine?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0716/109/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20252nd4/179%86%+0.07
04/09/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
25/09/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
16/10/20254th9/153%50%-0.03
25/10/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
16/05/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
09/07/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
06/08/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
10/09/20261st11/271%100%+0.29