4
Loveumissumeanit
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 23/08/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 05/10/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 12/12/2025 | 9th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |