3

More Money Hunny

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 77

Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 11/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2025 · OR 89 par11/05C6OR 89C7 @ Woodbine 01/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 88 parC7 @ Woodbine 17/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 91 par17/07C7OR 91C7 @ Woodbine 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 7f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 85 parC7 @ Woodbine 18/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 85 · 7f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 85 par18/10C7OR 85C8 @ Woodbine 15/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark15/11/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Woodbine 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 84 par15/05C8OR 84C8 @ Woodbine 06/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Woodbine 18/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 80 par18/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-08-06Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-05-15Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-11-15Woodbine?1st1st0
2025-10-18Woodbine?7th6th+1
2025-09-04Woodbine?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/054/0915/0518/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength14%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20255th10/147%20%-0.27
01/06/20252nd3/184%88%+0.03
17/07/20255th5/493%33%-0.60
04/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
18/10/20257th6/168%25%-0.43
15/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
15/05/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
06/08/20267th9/153%25%-0.28
18/09/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28