My Girl Sky
7yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |